Showing posts with label bad science. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bad science. Show all posts

Friday, June 28, 2013

Fish biologists need to fish


Fisheries science holds profound ramifications for the future of fish in our lakes, rivers, estuaries and oceans. In Florida where 31% of people consider themselves anglers, it is no wonder why everyone has an opinion on how and why fish should be managed. Most anglers agree that conservation of fish populations is a necessity; the questions arise in the best way to do that (e.g. regulations) and how scientists arrive at management decisions. Questions turn to distrust and doubt when the communication gap between scientists and the public is not breached. 

Fisheries science is prone to criticism. First, it is not an exact science. Models provide projections and population estimates. Second, models aren’t well understood by the public (and I dare say many scientists) due to their complexity. Models often change or are replaced over time as the science evolves and adapts to include new statistical theory and methodology. Change, in all aspects of life, can be difficult to accept. Opaque reasons for change cause anglers to hold fast to old-fashioned but comfortable management and data collection methods. For example, Catch Per Unit Effort (CPUE) is a straightforward, traditional measurement of abundance and is easily understood by scientists and the public. However multiple studies on collapsing stocks have shown that CPUE may remain high as the population declines (e.g. Erisman et al. 2011), prompting managers to rely on additional benchmarks for stock health. The Fishing Rights Association (FRA) lists this shift as an issue of concern- specifically that stock assessment models are ignoring standard benchmarks including CPUE. The FRA has gone so far as to hire their own scientists to prove federal regulators wrong. The CPUE conflict exemplifies the difficulty of remaining cutting edge in fisheries science yet retaining the confidence of the public.